Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 3.097630e-05 0.000037 0.000043 0.000050 0.000058 0.000067 0.000077
2025-02-16 2.527332e-05 0.000033 0.000042 0.000053 0.000066 0.000081 0.000099
2025-02-23 2.000360e-05 0.000029 0.000039 0.000053 0.000070 0.000090 0.000115
2025-03-02 1.511319e-05 0.000024 0.000035 0.000050 0.000070 0.000093 0.000124
2025-03-09 1.187418e-05 0.000020 0.000032 0.000048 0.000070 0.000098 0.000134
2025-03-16 9.513783e-06 0.000018 0.000030 0.000047 0.000071 0.000103 0.000145
2025-03-23 7.812710e-06 0.000016 0.000028 0.000047 0.000073 0.000108 0.000156
2025-03-30 6.350125e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000046 0.000074 0.000112 0.000166
2025-04-06 4.980790e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000044 0.000074 0.000114 0.000173
2025-04-13 3.667371e-06 0.000010 0.000021 0.000041 0.000071 0.000114 0.000175
2025-04-20 2.846531e-06 0.000009 0.000020 0.000039 0.000071 0.000116 0.000182
2025-04-27 2.400127e-06 0.000008 0.000019 0.000040 0.000073 0.000121 0.000193
2025-05-04 1.853922e-06 0.000007 0.000018 0.000039 0.000075 0.000127 0.000207
2025-05-11 1.690015e-06 0.000007 0.000019 0.000042 0.000082 0.000141 0.000232
2025-05-18 1.303378e-06 0.000006 0.000018 0.000042 0.000084 0.000148 0.000247
2025-05-25 8.545725e-07 0.000005 0.000016 0.000040 0.000082 0.000149 0.000253
2025-06-01 5.782020e-07 0.000004 0.000015 0.000038 0.000082 0.000152 0.000263
2025-06-08 3.912208e-07 0.000004 0.000014 0.000037 0.000082 0.000156 0.000274
2025-06-15 2.698246e-07 0.000003 0.000013 0.000037 0.000084 0.000161 0.000286
2025-06-22 1.745377e-07 0.000003 0.000012 0.000036 0.000084 0.000165 0.000298
2025-06-29 9.756737e-08 0.000002 0.000011 0.000035 0.000083 0.000166 0.000305
2025-07-06 4.121128e-08 0.000002 0.000009 0.000032 0.000080 0.000164 0.000307
2025-07-13 1.806118e-08 0.000001 0.000009 0.000031 0.000080 0.000166 0.000315